Mercados de previsão atingirão volume de US$ 1 trilhão até 2030, diz Bernstein
By Fernando Martines
Bernstein analysts forecast that prediction markets will reach $1 trillion in trading volume by 2030, fueled by institutional adoption of contracts on economic, commercial, and political events. Sports events currently account for 62% of volumes on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi but are expected to drop to 31% as other categories expand. Revenues from these markets are projected to reach $10.8 billion by the end of the decade.
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